Washington Post: “The Supreme Court just made a major decision without actually issuing a decision

Washington Post: “The Supreme Court just made a major decision without actually issuing a decision. On Monday morning, the justices announced that they would take up a case out of Wisconsin that could result in a ruling on the constitutionality of partisan gerrymandering.
Democrats should be cautiously very happy with this.
No, it doesn’t mean that the Supreme Court will suddenly strike down the practice altogether, but it does mean that the court could deliver what would be basically an unprecedented rebuke of a practice that has, according to a recent study, prevented Democrats from controlling the U.S. House for potentially four of the past six years.
The Post’s Supreme Court guru Robert Barnes explains the significance here:
The justices regularly are called to invalidate state electoral maps that have been illegally drawn to reduce the influence of racial minorities by depressing the impact of their votes.
But the Supreme Court has never found a plan unconstitutional because of partisan gerrymandering. If it does, it would have a revolutionary impact on the reapportionment that comes after the 2020 election and could come at the expense of Republicans, who control the process in the majority of states.
The court accepted a case from Wisconsin, where a divided panel of three federal judges last year ruled last year that the state’s Republican leadership in 2011 pushed through a plan so partisan that it violated the Constitution’s First Amendment and equal rights protections.
In other words, the fact that the justices are even going to hear this case suggests that it could result in a ruling on the constitutionality question. And since the court has never struck down a map for partisan gerrymandering, that ruling could move the needle in a way we have never seen before.
Basically any movement in that needle would be in Democrats’ favor. In recent years, Republicans have enjoyed a very large edge when it comes to control of the redistricting process throughout the United States. The GOP won a huge wave election in the 2010 contests, which happened to come just before the once-per-decade census and before state legislatures in most states across the country redrew their congressional and state legislative maps.
Republicans used this edge to draw very GOP-friendly maps in big swing states and even some blue-leaning states like Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. And in large part because of those state legislative maps, they retain historic control through today, including complete control of state government in 25 out of 50 states, compared to just seven for Democrats. And that, in turn, would mean they get to draw many of these maps again. It’s a vicious cycle for Democrats.
Unless.
Let’s say for the sake of argument that the Supreme Court does rule that partisan gerrymandering is unconstitutional. How much would Democrats stand to gain?
The Brennan Center tried to answer this question a few weeks back, as it happens. Using a number of methods, they estimated the number of seats Republicans and Democrats have gained in each state compared to what you might expect with a politically neutral map. (A “politically neutral map” is a very hypothetical concept that is open to interpretation, it should be noted.)
[Republican redistricting is taking a beating in the courts (again)]
Basically, it took the actual GOP share of seats in states that were big enough to allow for gerrymandering to shift seats, and compared it to various definitions of what you might expect under a neutral map. One method is the “efficiency gap,” which compares how many seats the GOP controls to the raw vote totals. In Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania, this method suggests the GOP gained multiple seats via its redistricting advantage. Other methods showed similar gains in similar states. Democrats gained seats in Maryland and Massachusetts, where they were in control, but their overall gains were nowhere close to the GOP’s.
In the end, the Brennan analysis suggests the GOP won between 25 and 37 extra seats in the 2012 election because of its redistricting advantage. In 2014, the advantage was smaller — between four and 20 seats — and in 2016 it got bigger again, with a GOP gain of between 16 and 29 seats.
And here’s the key takeaway: Those shifts were good enough to hand Republicans the majority in 2012 and potentially in 2016, too. Given the GOP had a 234-201 majority after the 2012 election, shifting 25 seats would have given Democrats a 226-209 majority. And that’s Brennan’s most GOP-friendly estimate; if 37 seats flipped, Democrats would have held a 238-197 majority.
The GOP would have held on to its majorities in 2014 regardless, according to the estimates. But in 2016, that 16-to-29-seat gain for the GOP through redistricting may have accounted for its majority. If 23 or fewer seats shifted because of the GOP’s redistricting advantage, the GOP would have held its majority. If 24 or more shifted, Democrats would have taken control.
But that doesn’t mean the Supreme Court is about to hand the keys to the U.S. House back to Democrats. And all of this comes with a couple of big caveats.
The first is that we don’t know if the court will actually strike down partisan gerrymandering writ large or just rule narrowly on the Wisconsin case. Barnes notes a significant aspect of the court’s announcement Monday:
The justices gave themselves a bit of an out: They said they will further consider their jurisdiction over the case when it is heard on its merits.
The second is that even a pretty sweeping decision won’t suddenly result in those idealized, hypothetical neutral maps. It will certainly give Republicans some pause in drawing pretty nakedly politically advantageous maps and make it easier for courts to strike them down. But politicians are clever when it comes to self-preservation and partisanship, and the whoever is in charge will undoubtedly find other justifications for maps that appear to be partisan gerrymanders.
In other words, it’s unlikely that the court will do something that suddenly shifts 10, 20 or 30 or more seats toward Democrats — either in 2018 or after the next census and redistricting process. But basically any movement away from partisan gerrymandering will accrue to Democrats’ benefit.
And given that they’ve been in the minority since after the 2010 election and probably face another grim redistricting process in 2021 and 2022, that’s got to be encouraging.”

Okay

Okay, techies and poet friends – my laptop has had some issues pretty much since I took it out of the box. I am in the market for a new one, and would like to know what you have used as writers that has been pretty high-powered and reliable (no going on the fritz at random times)? My last two laptops have been an HP SPECTRE and an Apple MacBook Pro, both of which had copious technical issues and neither of which lasted even two years.
Ok, thanks in advance for recommendations!

Las consecuencias

Las consecuencias, hijas ilegítimas y desmoralizadoras de las acciones que nos inculcan tantas verdades y propiedades absolutas de cada situación. Reacciones al tiempo y a las millones de variables interpuestas que nos brindan consciencia y demandan solución como respuesta contigua. Entre mil acciones y reacciones se desfragmentan los hechos y cuestiones y, por extensión, los puntos de vista que van cada vez más apretados de la mano de la razón y objetividad. Aunque nos conmueva mucho la subjetividad idiosincrásica, no nos sirve de nada mas que de “solución líquida ph neutro (según nuestras creencias, conocimiento y consciencia)” para diluir los problemas y que amortigüe el peso de ellos y para no sobrexponer nuestra frágil paz a la tendencia de la ansiedad. Nuestra cognición se lleva a cabo por medio de muchas reacciones psicoquímicas como respuesta a los estímulos del “ahorita en el presente,” conectando múltiples funciones sensoriales y dando sentido y significado—por la mayor parte— de lo que nos rodea. Acciones y reacciones de todo ser vivo o inerte ya sea en movimiento, en reposo o llevando a cabo su efecto o preponderancia transitoria, subsecuente, constante o eterna (etc). No solamente los sentidos reaccionan ante todos los estímulos para acercarnos lo más aproximado posible al espectro de la realidad constante, sino que llevan en sí mismos otra función cognitiva de implicar relatividad y significado para “darle sentido” a la habitabilidad y, en un plano más primitivo-instintivo, sobrevivir al entorno tras estarse actualizando consecuente y simultáneamente mientras la existencia sucede. Aunque, según algunos estudios, nuestra realidad [humana/ cultural] aparte de ser apreciada diferentemente entre los demás animales gracias a nuestros dotes de razón y consciencia, es limitada. La percepción de lo que es la realidad está predispuesta y preconcebida a raíz de nuestros sentidos por medio de la experiencia y cognición post-conocimiento. Entonces, estamos también limitados en algunos aspectos sensoriales que nos impide saber sobre todo el espectro de la realidad. Dos ejemplos de ello, en el reino animal, es nuestro sistema olfativo comparado con el de nuestros perros, cuyo sentido del olfato, muchas veces superior al nuestro, está sumamente arraigado a su sistema social y emotivo. Así también, existe una especie de camarón cuyo sistema sensorial de visión tiene un rango más amplio que el nuestro en el espectro de los colores que, si mal no recuerdo, tiene una función evolutiva de supervivencia, por supuesto. Los humanos no captamos algunas (o muchas) frecuencias, vibraciones u ondas que suscitan otros colores, sonidos y o sentires de tacto, etc. Y no pretendo llegar a nada con esto que estoy escribiendo, pues aparte de que perdí mi norte teórico, no tenía ningún objetivo académico en lo absoluto, aunque me parecería una buena introducción a una disertación sobre el tema de los conceptos de consecuencia (causa y efecto/ acción y reacción) en la psicología evolutiva o filosofía ad hoc.
[Filosofando camino a casa. El tiempo pasa más rápido en el camión cuando no se entera uno su lugar en el tiempo/espacio rumbo a casa. Ejercicios de escritura y análisis crítico-biológico].

Just dropped off Tay for a week of tech camp

Just dropped off Tay for a week of tech camp. Last year, she went to Alexa Cafe–an all girls tech camp. This year, she’s trying the coed version–Id Tech. A week of learning game design. Wish I could go! #GirlsInTech #STEM
Parents: Info on both camps below. Really loved Alexa Cafe. So empowering for young girls. Am sure Id Tech camp will be great too.
Alexa Cafe All Girls Tech Camp:
https://www.idtech.com/alexa-cafe/
Id Tech Camp (Coed):
https://www.idtech.com/?gclid=CK2W0vnLyNQCFcO3wAodVx8Jcw

To all my loyal

To all my loyal, anxious, nail-biting readers who are awaiting the release of “Bane County 2: Returning Moon” with bated-breath.
You are “Greatly” appreciated! …and I promise, we are getting closer to the release date.
The beginning of summer (June 20 – Sept 22) is only four days away, and at some point during that date-range, book 2 will be released. Thank you for your continued patience, and stay tuned for updates. Thank you!

Freethinkers

Freethinkers
Energy Potentials
There is one basic law to the universe, “everything is lazy and wants to lay down” Things that are light want to become dark, things that are hot want to become cold, things that are up want to fall down.
energy is a measurement of an object’s potential to do work, or using the above example of the universe, Energy is really the height of an object relative to everything else in the universe.
So if you push heat in to something it is higher up the heat hill than every thing else so it wants to get rid of it, it posses thermal energy. If you put a book on a shelf, it is higher than the ground and it can fall down, so it has potential energy. If a moving car hits something it is giving off kinetic energy. If I pull electrons off, or add electrons too an object. It has moved up an electrical hill and it wants to fall down again, so it has electric potential

ZEUS IS NOW MICROCHIPED TO ME

ZEUS IS NOW MICROCHIPED TO ME. HE BELONGS TO JOSH DICKINSON A DISABLED MILITARY MANS SERVICE DOG. WE NEED TO FIND ZEUS.
TO ALL PIT BULL RESCUE’S OUT THERE ZEUS IS MISSING.. HE WAS GIVEN AWAY BY THE PEOPLE THAT WERE TEMPORARILY FOSTERING HIM FOR HIS DAD, BUT THEY GAVE HIM AWAY TO A LADY THAT KNOWS A PIT RESCUE IN ORANGE COUNTY. ZEUS IS MICROCHIPED HOWEVER NOT REGISTERED, BECAUSE HIS OWNER IS IN JAIL. JOSH IS BESIDE MYSELF RIGHT NOW.
WE NEED TO FIND ZEUS NOW. SPREAD THE WORD.
I need an experienced foster for a boy I pulled from animal control 1 day before he was to become their property and I was told they would euthanized him.
Zeus, belongs to a young man who unfortunately lost his way in life, but even though he became homeless and was arrested he couldn’t allow animal control to keep his best friend or kill his boy. He reached out to me from jail about a month ago and begged me to save Zeus, he had a plan so of course I couldn’t say no. Unfortunately, his plan has unraveled and poor Zeus has been going from one home to another.
Zeus, is 6yrs old, not small dog friendly, might be ok with large dog’s, but I’d rather he be an only dog because he’s very protective of his keeper. Zeus, is a mellow, full of love and wants to be petted, go on walks and car rides. Zeus is UTD on shots and is neutered. If you can help me keep Zeus safe until his owner Josh gets out of jail this would be a God send.
PLEASE PM ME IF YOU HAVE EXPERIENCE WITH PITTIES, HAVE A LARGE BACK YARD AND CAN FOSTER ZEUS FOR AT LEAST 8 MONTHS.

One

One-Minute Devotion
One Thought, One Scripture, One Prayer
1972 was a challenging year for Brenda and me. After more than five years of effective ministry we suddenly found ourselves without a place to preach. To keep body and soul together we moved in with her parents and I took a variety of odd jobs. I continued to preach as opportunities presented themselves but they were few and far between. We spent New Year’s Day 1973 with my brother in Cameron, Texas before returning to Houston. It was nearly midnight, and both Brenda and Leah were asleep, as we drove across Houston toward Pasadena where her parents lived. In desperation I cried out to the Lord. I told Him I would go anywhere and do anything. In my spirit I heard Him say, “Sell cars.” So clearly did He speak to me that it might as well have been an audible voice.
Early the next morning I applied for a position as a new car salesman although, heretofore, I had never even remotely considered selling cars. Against all odds, I was hired by the third largest Pontiac dealership in the nation and I spent 1973 selling Pontiacs. I also served as a part-time youth pastor with a wise and godly minister who was used by God to heal my wounded soul. Like David, I can say, “The good shepherd leads me and He restores my soul” (see Psalm 23:2 & 3).
“The LORD is my shepherd, I shall not be in want. He makes me lie down in green pastures, he leads me beside the quiet waters, he restores my soul.”
— Psalm 23:1-3 (NIV 1984)
Lord Jesus, thank you for being the shepherd of my soul and for leading me in the way I should go. In Your holy name I pray. Amen.
To subscribe to Richard Exley’s One-Minute Devotion send your name and email address to pastorrichardexley@gmail.com

Do you know what the best part of having an alter ego is

Do you know what the best part of having an alter ego is? When I get sick of all of you, I log off and login to my personal Facebook page. Then I deal with those weirdo’s until i’m tired of them and then bounce back here to deal with you weirdo’s again. #AlterEgo #EveryoneIsWeird #YallAreExhausting